US Supreme Court: Hearing, Mar 26, 2026
Kalshi What will the Supreme Court Justices say during the hearing on last-mile delivery?
Markets
16 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: any justice Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Exempt / Exemption | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| FAA | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| State Line | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional | No | 64%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Amazon | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Amicus | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billion | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bissonnette | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Class Action | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| FedEx / UPS | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Franchise | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gig | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hotshot / Hot Shot | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Independent Contractor | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Supply Chain | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSCOTUSMENTION-26MAR26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP