US Supreme Court: Appearance, Nov 6, 2025
Kalshi What will the Supreme Court Justices say during the tariff cases against Trump?
Markets
15 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: any justice Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| National Security | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Regulate / Regulation | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Steel | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tax | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trillion | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Injunction | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Liberation Day | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mexico | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NAFTA / North America Free Trade Agreement | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Overstep / Overreach | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trade Deal | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Worker | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSCOTUSMENTION-25NOV06 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP