Chuck Schumer: Episode, Sep 28, 2025

Sun, Sep 28EpisodeHistory onlyChuck Schumer

Updated

Markets

20 words · 4 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
John / Thune Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Mike / Johnson Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump 3+ timesYes–new new word, no probability yet–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No–new new word, no probability yet–
Autopen No–new new word, no probability yet–
Avoid No–new new word, no probability yet–
Billionaire No–new new word, no probability yet–
Deal No–new new word, no probability yet–
Democratic No–new new word, no probability yet–
Hakeem / Jeffries No–new new word, no probability yet–
Medicare / Medicaid No–new new word, no probability yet–
Midterm No–new new word, no probability yet–
November 21 No–new new word, no probability yet–
Palestine No–new new word, no probability yet–
Recession No–new new word, no probability yet–
Rescission No–new new word, no probability yet–
Senate Republican No–new new word, no probability yet–
Woke No–new new word, no probability yet–
Zohran / Mamdani No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSCHUMERMENTION-25SEP28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP