# Chuck Schumer (chuck-schumer) · tv_episode 2025-09-28 · 20 words · K k:KXSCHUMERMENTION-25SEP28 · as_of 2026-10-25T02:01:18Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-09-28 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSCHUMERMENTION-25SEP28 ({word} = w of K rows): If Chuck Schumer says {word} as part of Meet the Press on September 28th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	p	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	0	0		0.36	no
Autopen	autopen	1	0	0		0.36	no
Avoid	avoid	1	0	0		0.36	no
Billionaire	billionaire	1	0	0		0.36	no
Deal	deal	1	0	0		0.36	no
Democratic	democratic	1	0	0		0.36	no
Hakeem / Jeffries	hakeem|jeffry	1	0	0		0.36	no
John / Thune	john|thune	1	0	0		0.36	yes
Medicare / Medicaid	medicaid|medicare	1	0	0		0.36	no
Midterm	midterm	1	0	0		0.36	no
Mike / Johnson	johnson|mike	1	0	0		0.36	yes
November 21	november 21	1	0	0		0.36	no
Palestine	palestine	1	0	0		0.36	no
Recession	recession	1	0	0		0.36	no
Rescission	rescission	1	0	0		0.36	no
Senate Republican	senate republican	1	0	0		0.36	no
Trump	trump	1	0	0		0.36	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	0	0		0.36	yes
Woke	woke	1	0	0		0.36	no
Zohran / Mamdani	mamdani|zohran	1	0	0		0.36	no