Chuck Schumer
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 33 word markets on Chuck Schumer’s appearances since 2025, on 30 different words.
History Wall
1–31 of 31, most settled first| Word | Sep 28 ’25episode | May 19 ’26latest | Last 2 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump3+ times | Settled yes: Trump (3+ times), Sep 28 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Trump (3+ times), May 19 ’26 keynote | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | 56%n=2 from settlement history |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, May 19 ’26 keynote | 0/20% | 0/20% | 33%n=2 from settlement history |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, May 19 ’26 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Election, May 19 ’26 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, May 19 ’26 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Healthcare | Not listed: Healthcare, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Healthcare, May 19 ’26 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Iran / Iranian | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Iran / Iranian, May 19 ’26 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Mike / Johnson | Settled yes: Mike / Johnson, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Not listed: Mike / Johnson, May 19 ’26 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| John / Thune | Settled yes: John / Thune, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Not listed: John / Thune, May 19 ’26 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Republican | Not listed: Republican, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Republican, May 19 ’26 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump | Settled yes: Trump, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Not listed: Trump, May 19 ’26 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Autopen | Settled no: Autopen, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Not listed: Autopen, May 19 ’26 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Avoid | Settled no: Avoid, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Not listed: Avoid, May 19 ’26 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Ballroom | Not listed: Ballroom, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Settled no: Ballroom, May 19 ’26 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Billionaire | Settled no: Billionaire, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Not listed: Billionaire, May 19 ’26 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Bipartisan | Not listed: Bipartisan, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Settled no: Bipartisan, May 19 ’26 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| China / Chinese | Not listed: China / Chinese, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Settled no: China / Chinese, May 19 ’26 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Deal | Settled no: Deal, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Not listed: Deal, May 19 ’26 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Democratic | Settled no: Democratic, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Not listed: Democratic, May 19 ’26 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Hakeem / Jeffries | Settled no: Hakeem / Jeffries, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Not listed: Hakeem / Jeffries, May 19 ’26 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Hormuz | Not listed: Hormuz, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Settled no: Hormuz, May 19 ’26 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Zohran / Mamdani | Settled no: Zohran / Mamdani, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, May 19 ’26 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Medicare / Medicaid | Settled no: Medicare / Medicaid, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, May 19 ’26 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Midterm | Settled no: Midterm, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Not listed: Midterm, May 19 ’26 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| November 21 | Settled no: November 21, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Not listed: November 21, May 19 ’26 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Palestine | Settled no: Palestine, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Not listed: Palestine, May 19 ’26 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Recession | Settled no: Recession, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Not listed: Recession, May 19 ’26 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Rescission | Settled no: Rescission, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Not listed: Rescission, May 19 ’26 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Senate Republican | Settled no: Senate Republican, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Not listed: Senate Republican, May 19 ’26 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Taxpayer | Not listed: Taxpayer, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Settled no: Taxpayer, May 19 ’26 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Woke | Settled no: Woke, Sep 28 ’25 episode | Not listed: Woke, May 19 ’26 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 2Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | KeynoteWhat will Chuck Schumer say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? | no transcript | 14 | 7 yes · 7 no | – |
| Sep 28, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Chuck Schumer say on Meet the Press? | no transcript | 20 | 4 yes · 16 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Chuck Schumer: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/chuck-schumer (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/chuck-schumer · words: /api/v1/history?entity=chuck-schumer · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP