# Ken Paxton (ken-paxton) · remarks 2026-03-27 · 10 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAR27D · as_of 2026-10-24T17:13:54Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-27 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAR27D ({word} = w of K rows): If Ken Paxton says {word} as part of CPAC Ronald Reagan Dinner, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	p	res
Big Tech	big tech	1	0	0		0.44	yes
Border	border	1	0	0		0.44	no
Democrat	democrat	1	0	0		0.44	no
Deport / Deportation	deport|deportation	1	0	0		0.44	yes
ICE / DHS	dhs|ice	1	0	0		0.44	no
ID / Identification	id|identification	1	0	0		0.44	yes
Jesus	jesus	1	0	0		0.44	no
Muslim	muslim	1	0	0		0.44	no
Noem / Homan	homan|noem	1	0	0		0.44	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	0	0		0.44	yes
