# Jake Paul (jake-paul) · remarks 2025-12-19 · 10 words · K k:KXPAULMENTION-25DEC19 · as_of 2026-10-26T19:11:43Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-19 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPAULMENTION-25DEC19 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jake Paul says {word} as part of Public Weigh-In on December 18th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src
Celsius	celsius	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist
Cut	cut	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist
Hydrate / Hydrated	hydrate|hydrated	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist
Logan	logan	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist
Netflix	netflix	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist
Problem Child	problem child	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist
Slap / Slaps / Slapped	slap|slapped	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist
Hungry	hungry	0	0			0.38	prior
Prize	prize	0	0			0.38	prior
Purse	purse	0	0			0.38	prior