# Jake Paul (jake-paul) · presser 2025-12-18 · 12 words · K k:KXPAULMENTION-25DEC18 · as_of 2026-10-26T19:55:03Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-18 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPAULMENTION-25DEC18 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jake Paul says {word} as part of Press Conference on December 17th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
Belt	belt	0	0		0.44	yes
Celsius	celsius	0	0		0.44	no
Cut	cut	0	0		0.44	no
Hydrate / Hydrated	hydrate|hydrated	0	0		0.44	no
Knock Out / Knockout	knock out|knockout	0	0		0.44	no
Logan	logan	0	0		0.44	no
Netflix	netflix	0	0		0.44	no
Olympic / Olympics / Olympian	olympian|olympic	0	0		0.44	no
Prize / Purse	prize|purse	0	0		0.44	no
Problem Child	problem child	0	0		0.44	no
Slap / Slaps / Slapped	slap|slapped	0	0		0.44	no
YouTube / TikTok	tiktok|youtube	0	0		0.44	no