NFL: Game, Feb 3, 2026

Tue, Feb 3GameHistory onlyNFL

Updated

Markets

16 words · 9 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Safety Yes96%n=90 from settlement history–
MVP Yes77%n=13 from settlement history–
Comeback / Come Back Yes72%n=3 from settlement history–
Veteran Yes72%n=26 from settlement history–
Wind / Windy Yes58%n=56 from settlement history–
Turf Yes53%n=90 from settlement history–
Contract Yes42%n=56 from settlement history–
No Good Yes29%n=34 from settlement history–
Pick Six Yes24%n=14 from settlement history–
Trade / Traded No71%n=72 from settlement history–
Retire / Retired / Retirement No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Mahomes No52%n=5 from settlement history–
Moscone Center No–new new word, no probability yet–
What a Catch No36%n=85 from settlement history–
Golden Gate No25%n=4 from settlement history–
One Handed No24%n=92 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXNFLMENTION-26NFCAFC · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP