# NFL (nfl) · game 2026-02-03 · 16 words · K k:KXNFLMENTION-26NFCAFC · as_of 2026-10-24T12:32:03Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-02-03 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNFLMENTION-26NFCAFC ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of 2026 Pro Bowl flag football game originally scheduled for February 3rd, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	90	88	0.98	YYYYYYYYYY	0.96	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	13	11	0.85	YYYYYYYYYY	0.77	hist	yes
Comeback / Come Back	come back|comeback	3	3	1	YYY	0.72	hist	yes
Veteran	veteran	26	20	0.77	YnnYYYYYYY	0.72	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	72	54	0.75	YYYYnYYnYY	0.71	hist	no
Retire / Retired / Retirement	retire|retired|retirement	1	1	1	Y	0.59	hist	no
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	56	34	0.61	YYYnnYYYYY	0.58	hist	yes
Turf	turf	90	49	0.54	nYnYnYYnnn	0.53	hist	yes
Mahomes	mahome	5	3	0.6	nYYYn	0.52	hist	no
Contract	contract	56	24	0.43	nnnnnYYnnn	0.42	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	85	29	0.34	YnnnnnYYnY	0.36	hist	no
No Good	no good	34	9	0.26	YYnYnnnnYn	0.29	hist	yes
Golden Gate	golden gate	4	0	0	nnnn	0.25	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	92	20	0.22	nnnnnnYnnY	0.24	hist	no
Pick Six	pick six	12	2	0.17	nnnnnnYnnn	0.24	hist	yes
Moscone Center	moscone center	0	0			0.49	prior	no