College football: Game, Jan 20, 2026
Kalshi What will the announcers say during the College Football Playoff National Championship?
Markets
20 words · 10 settled yes- Kalshi: play-by-play or color Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freshman | Yes | 97%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Safety | Yes | 93%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Transfer | Yes | 86%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Turf | Yes | 64%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Hard Rock | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Draft | Yes | 59%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Wind / Windy | Yes | 59%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Recruit / Recruitment | Yes | 58%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Heisman | Yes | 56%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Schedule | Yes | 53%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Wild | No | 47%n=32 from settlement history | – |
| Sin City | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| What a Catch | No | 34%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| No Good | No | 34%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| One Handed | No | 24%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Late Hit | No | 24%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Superbowl / Super Bowl | No | 21%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Roughing the Passer | No | 16%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Tush Push | No | 14%n=30 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXNCAAMENTION-CFBC26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP