# Melania Trump (melania-trump) · keynote 2026-06-11 · 11 words · K k:KXMELANIAMENTION-26JUN11 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:36:09Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-11 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMELANIAMENTION-26JUN11 ({word} = w of K rows): If Melania Trump says {word} as part of First Lady Melania Trump To Launch Fostering the Future Accounts , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	10	5	0.5	nnYnYYYnnY	0.51	hist	no
School	school	6	3	0.5	nYnnYY	0.46	hist	no
Education / College	college|education	0	0			0.45	hist	yes
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	0	0			0.32	hist	no
Peace	peace	8	2	0.25	nYnnnnYn	0.29	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	3	0	0	nnn	0.24	hist	no
Donald	donald	13	2	0.15	nnnnnnYnnn	0.22	hist	no
America First	america first	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Bessent	bessent	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Dell	dell	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Stock Market	stock market	0	0			0.38	prior	no