# Melania Trump (melania-trump) · remarks 2025-11-14 · 14 words · K k:KXMELANIAMENTION-25NOV14 · as_of 2026-10-27T08:05:54Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-14 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMELANIAMENTION-25NOV14 ({word} = w of K rows): If Melania Trump says {word} as part of Executive Order signing on November 13th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Children	children	1	1	1	Y	0.44	hist	yes
Barron	barron	1	0	0	n	0.23	hist	no
Christmas	christma	1	0	0	n	0.23	hist	no
Donald	donald	1	0	0	n	0.23	hist	yes
Education	education	1	0	0	n	0.23	hist	no
Mother	mother	1	0	0	n	0.23	hist	no
Ballroom	ballroom	0	0			0.29	prior	no
College / University	college|university	0	0			0.29	prior	yes
Fund / Funding	fund|funding	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Homeless	homeless	0	0			0.29	prior	yes
Investment	investment	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Peace	peace	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Thanksgiving	thanksgiving	0	0			0.29	prior	no
Welfare	welfare	0	0			0.29	prior	no