# Love Island USA (love-island-usa) · tv_episode 2026-06-19 · 19 words · K k:KXLOVEISLMENTION-26JUN19 · as_of 2026-10-26T04:00:04Z
# scope K contestants_ex_host · n/y settled before 2026-06-19 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLOVEISLMENTION-26JUN19 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating contestant (excluding host) says {word} as part of Love Island USA Season 8 Episode 15 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bombshell	bombshell	13	12	0.92	YYYYYYYYYY	0.71	yes
Messy	messy	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	0.64	yes
Date / Dating	date|dating	11	10	0.91	YYYYYYYnYY	0.63	yes
Pull you for a chat	pull you for a chat	11	8	0.73	YYnYYYYYnY	0.53	no
Drama	drama	13	6	0.46	YnYYYnnYnY	0.46	no
Hideaway	hideaway	12	3	0.25	nnnnnnYYYn	0.39	no
Where's your head at / Where is your head at	where is your head at|where's your head at	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.37	no
Marry / Married / Marriage	marriage|married|marry	5	1	0.2	nnnnY	0.32	no
Ex	ex	12	5	0.42	nnYYYnYnnn	0.31	no
Dump / Dumped	dump|dumped	12	2	0.17	nnnnnnnnnY	0.28	yes
Firepit	firepit	12	4	0.33	YYnYnnnnnn	0.22	yes
Loyal / Loyalty	loyal|loyalty	12	3	0.25	nYnnYnnnnn	0.21	no
IG / Instagram / TikTok	ig|instagram|tiktok	12	2	0.17	YnYnnnnnnn	0.19	no
Ick	ick	13	2	0.15	nnYnnnnnnn	0.17	no
Fiji	fiji	12	2	0.17	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.16	no
Prize / 100k / 100,000	100 000|100k|prize	12	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.14	no
Betray / Betrayed / Betrayal	betray|betrayal|betrayed	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn	0.14	yes
Heartbroken / Heartbreak	heartbreak|heartbroken	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn	0.14	no
Casa Amor	casa amor	13	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.13	no