# The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon (the-tonight-show-starring-jimmy-fallon) · tv_episode 2026-01-21 · 7 words · K k:KXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JAN21 · as_of 2026-10-25T04:05:03Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-21 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLATENIGHTMENTION-26JAN21 ({word} = w of K rows): If Will Smith says {word} as part of The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
Chris Rock	chris rock	0	0		0.3	no
Disney / Disney+ / Hulu	disney|disney+|hulu	0	0		0.3	no
Jada	jada	0	0		0.3	yes
National Geographic	national geographic	0	0		0.3	no
Pole to Pole	pole to pole	0	0		0.3	yes
Slap / Slapped	slap|slapped	0	0		0.3	no
Travel / Traveled / Traveling	travel|traveled|traveling	0	0		0.3	no