# King Charles III (king-charles-iii) · speech 2025-12-26 · 9 words · K k:KXKINGMENTION-25DEC26 · as_of 2026-10-24T22:37:36Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-26 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXKINGMENTION-25DEC26 ({word} = w of K rows): If King Charles III says {word} as part of King Charles 2025 Christmas Speech, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
Commonwealth	commonwealth	0	0		0.44	yes
Conflict	conflict	0	0		0.44	yes
Elizabeth	elizabeth	0	0		0.44	no
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	0	0		0.44	no
Jesus Christ	jesus christ	0	0		0.44	no
Middle East	middle east	0	0		0.44	no
Racism / Racist	racism|racist	0	0		0.44	no
Santa	santa	0	0		0.44	no
Trump	trump	0	0		0.44	no
