# Jimmy Kimmel Live! (jimmy-kimmel-live) · tv_episode 2025-09-24 · 20 words · K k:KXKIMMELMENTION-25SEP24 · as_of 2026-10-25T07:22:46Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2025-09-24 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXKIMMELMENTION-25SEP24 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jimmy Kimmel says {word} as part of Jimmy Kimmel Live! starting on September 24th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
ABC	abc	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	yes
Charlie / Kirk	charlie|kirk	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	no
Free Speech	free speech	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	no
Tylenol	tylenol	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	no
Censorship	censorship	1	1	1	Y	0.32	prior	no
Comedy / Comedian	comedian|comedy	1	1	1	Y	0.32	prior	yes
Disney	disney	1	1	1	Y	0.32	prior	no
MAGA	maga	1	1	1	Y	0.32	prior	no
Sorry / Apologize	apologize|sorry	1	1	1	Y	0.32	prior	yes
Trump	trump	1	1	1	Y	0.32	prior	yes
Cancel Culture	cancel culture	1	0	0	n	0.32	prior	no
Democracy	democracy	1	0	0	n	0.32	prior	no
Dictator	dictator	1	0	0	n	0.32	prior	no
Fascist / Fascism	fascism|fascist	1	0	0	n	0.32	prior	no
Nexstar / Sinclair	nexstar|sinclair	1	0	0	n	0.32	prior	no
Acetaminophen	acetaminophen	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Eric / Adams	adam|eric	0	0			0.32	prior	no
JD / Vance	jd|vance	0	0			0.32	prior	yes
Rating	rating	0	0			0.32	prior	yes
Talent	talent	0	0			0.32	prior	yes