# Jimmy Kimmel Live! (jimmy-kimmel-live) · tv_episode 2025-09-23 · 32 words · K k:KXKIMMELMENTION-25SEP23 · P p:what-will-jimmy-kimmel-say-during-return-show-on-september-23 · as_of 2026-10-24T10:58:52Z
# scope K host; P host · n/y settled before 2025-09-23 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXKIMMELMENTION-25SEP23 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jimmy Kimmel says {word} as part of Jimmy Kimmel Live! on September 23-24, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-jimmy-kimmel-say-during-return-show-on-september-23 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Kimmel says the listed term at any point during this episode.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	p	res
ABC	abc	1	KP	0	0		0.27	yes
Apologize / Sorry 5+ times	apologize|sorry#5	5	P	0	0		0.27	yes
Autism	autism	1	P	0	0		0.27	yes
Brendan / Carr	brendan|carr	1	K	0	0		0.27	yes
Cancel Culture	cancel culture	1	K	0	0		0.27	no
Cast	cast	1	K	0	0		0.27	yes
Censorship	censorship	1	K	0	0		0.27	yes
Charlie / Kirk	charlie|kirk	1	K	0	0		0.27	yes
Colbert	colbert	1	K	0	0		0.27	yes
Comedy / Comedian	comedian|comedy	1	K	0	0		0.27	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	P	0	0		0.27	no
Democracy	democracy	1	K	0	0		0.27	no
Dictator	dictator	1	KP	0	0		0.27	no
Disney	disney	1	K	0	0		0.27	yes
Disney 2+ times	disney#2	2	P	0	0		0.27	yes
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	1	P	0	0		0.27	no
Fascist / Fascism	fascism|fascist	1	K	0	0		0.27	no
FCC	fcc	1	K	0	0		0.27	yes
Free Speech	free speech	1	KP	0	0		0.27	yes
Grateful	grateful	1	K	0	0		0.27	yes
Kirk	kirk	1	P	0	0		0.27	yes
MAGA	maga	1	K	0	0		0.27	yes
Midterm	midterm	1	P	0	0		0.27	no
Nexstar / Sinclair	nexstar|sinclair	1	K	0	0		0.27	no
Obama	obama	1	K	0	0		0.27	no
Orange	orange	1	P	0	0		0.27	no
Sorry / Apologize	apologize|sorry	1	K	0	0		0.27	yes
Thank you 10+ times	thank you#10	10	P	0	0		0.27	yes
Trump	trump	1	K	0	0		0.27	yes
Trump 10+ times	trump#10	10	P	0	0		0.27	no
Tylenol	tylenol	1	P	0	0		0.27	yes
Vaccine / COVID	covid|vaccine	1	P	0	0		0.27	no