# Jimmy Kimmel Live! (jimmy-kimmel-live) · tv_episode 2025-10-03 · 12 words · K k:KXKIMMELMENTION-25OCT03 · as_of 2026-10-25T01:58:30Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2025-10-03 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXKIMMELMENTION-25OCT03 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jimmy Kimmel says {word} as part of Jimmy Kimmel Live! starting on October 3rd, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	1	2	2	1	YY	0.63	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Award	award	1	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Crazy	crazy	1	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Directing (3+ times)	directing#3	3	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Happy	happy	1	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Knicks	knick	1	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Movie (3+ times)	movie#3	3	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Sombrero	sombrero	1	0	0			0.45	prior	no
West Point	west point	1	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Woke	woke	1	0	0			0.45	prior	no