# Mike Johnson (mike-johnson) · speech 2026-01-24 · 11 words · K k:KXJOHNSONMENTION-26JAN24 · as_of 2026-10-25T18:31:45Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-24 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXJOHNSONMENTION-26JAN24 ({word} = w of K rows): If Mike Johnson says {word} as part of remarks at March for Life, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	2	2	1	YY	0.65	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	1	1	Y	0.57	hist	no
Abortion / Aborted	aborted|abortion	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Conception / Conceived	conceived|conception	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Family	family	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Mom / Dad / Parent	dad|mom|parent	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Opportunity	opportunity	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Pregnant / Pregnancy	pregnancy|pregnant	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Pro Life / Pro Choice	pro choice|pro life	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Roe / Wade	roe|wade	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Unborn	unborn	0	0			0.49	prior	no