# Golden Globes (golden-globes) · awards 2026-01-12 · 19 words · K k:KXGLASERMENTION-26JAN12 · as_of 2026-10-24T13:30:06Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-12 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXGLASERMENTION-26JAN12 ({word} = w of K rows): If Nikki Glaser says {word} as part of Movie/TV Awards on January 11th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	1	0	0	n	0.4	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	0	0	n	0.23	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	1	0	0	n	0.23	hist	no
Maduro / Venezuela	maduro|venezuela	1	0	0	n	0.23	hist	no
Ashley Tisdale	ashley tisdale	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Diddy	diddy	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Fire / Wildfire	fire|wildfire	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Hollywood	hollywood	0	0			0.28	prior	yes
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Julia Roberts	julia robert	0	0			0.28	prior	yes
Kylie / Jenner	jenner|kylie	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Netflix	netflix	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Newsom	newsom	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Ozempic	ozempic	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Podcast / Podcaster	podcast|podcaster	0	0			0.28	prior	yes
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Timothée Chalamet	timothee chalamet	0	0			0.28	prior	yes
Tom Brady	tom brady	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Warner	warner	0	0			0.28	prior	yes