Mark Carney: Remarks, May 28, 2026

Thu, May 28RemarksHistory onlyMark Carney

Updated

Markets

9 words · 3 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Calgary Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Hockey Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Milan / Milano Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
2028 / Los Angeles No–new new word, no probability yet–
2030 / Alps No–new new word, no probability yet–
Skier / Skiing No–new new word, no probability yet–
Speed Skating No–new new word, no probability yet–
Whistler No–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump No10%n=12 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCARNEYMENTION-26MAY28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP