Bank of America (BAC): FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 14, 2026

On its Oct 14, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q3), Bank of America said 14 of the 26 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 26 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

26 words · 14 settled yes · our count agreed on 26 of 26

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Revenue 10+ timesYes2727✓84%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 1:39, Revenue 10+ times–
Leverage 3+ timesYes1515✓91%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 15:27, Leverage 3+ times–
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes1218✓93%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 14:49, AI / Artificial Intelligence–
Digital Yes88✓94%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 3:41, Digital–
Pipeline Yes66✓81%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 21:36, Pipeline–
Dividend Yes55✓84%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 9:29, Dividend–
Inflation Yes33✓87%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 38:26, Inflation–
Hike / Hiked Yes34✓53%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 39:15, Hike / Hiked–
Inflation 3+ timesYes33✓42%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 38:26, Inflation 3+ times–
Merrill Yes22✓84%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 19:56, Merrill–
Buyback / Buy Back Yes24✓45%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 1:05:33, Buyback / Buy Back–
Zelle Yes22✓34%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 18:37, Zelle–
Delinquency Yes11✓81%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 15:58, Delinquency–
Agentic Yes13✓45%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 1:12:54, Agentic–
Merrill 3+ timesNo22✓55%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 19:56, Merrill 3+ times–
Rate Cut / Cut Rate No00✓90%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tariff No00✓63%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Iran / Middle East No00✓54%transcripts from the transcript model–
World Cup No00✓51%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tailwind No00✓48%transcripts from the transcript model–
Workflow No00✓38%transcripts from the transcript model–
Federal Reserve No00✓26%transcripts from the transcript model–
Trump / President No00✓24%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Merger No00✓20%transcripts from the transcript model–
Recession No00✓15%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Oil No00✓11%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

Where the listed words were said

Brian Moynihancompany“Revenue (10+)” · prepared · 1:41Hear it 1:40, Brian Moynihan

…NII, and better credit drove solid earnings. While the sales and trading revenue, investment banking revenue were lower. We reported net income of $6.9 billion…

Alastair Borthwickcompany“Leverage (3+)” · prepared · 15:29Hear it 15:26, Alastair Borthwick

…improve the productivity of the organization. We expect to return to operating leverage in Q4. From expense, let's move to credit quality on slides 11…

Alastair Borthwickcompany“AI / Artificial Intelligence” · prepared · 14:51Hear it 14:47, Alastair Borthwick

…and exchange costs in equities, respectively. We also invested in technology modernization, AI, client acquisition, marketing, and franchise growth. At the same time, productivity continues…

Brian Moynihancompany“Digital” · prepared · 3:43Hear it 3:42, Brian Moynihan

…clients use more of our lending, treasury, and payments capabilities. Payment volumes, digital activity, loan demand, and wealth flows all remained healthy. You can see…

Alastair Borthwickcompany“Pipeline” · prepared · 21:38Hear it 21:37, Alastair Borthwick

…net income was just under $2 billion, down modestly year-over-year. However, strong pipelines and the broader year-to-date performance put this quarter's investment banking results in…

Alastair Borthwickcompany“Dividend” · prepared · 9:31Hear it 9:27, Alastair Borthwick

We returned $8.3 billion to shareholders this quarter through dividends and share repurchases, and this combination of balance sheet strength and capital generation continues to…

Alastair Borthwickcompany“Inflation” · qa · 38:28Hear it 38:22, Alastair Borthwick

…points or not, at some point, non-interest-bearing deposits are impacted more by inflation and GDP. So we ought to see continued growth in non-interest-bearing deposits…

Alastair Borthwickcompany“Hike / Hiked” · qa · 39:17Hear it 39:13, Alastair Borthwick

…pricing. In wealth, we tend to pass along pricing with interest rate hikes and cuts. The same thing is true in global banking. When the…

Brian Moynihancompany“Inflation (3+)” · qa · 1:24:50Hear it 1:24:44, Brian Moynihan

…move, and I think right now the nominal economy growing 5%+ with inflation down to 2%+ by our team. There is a lot of nominal…

Alastair Borthwickcompany“Merrill” · prepared · 19:58Hear it 19:58, Alastair Borthwick

Merrill added about 4,200 net new households with at least $500,000 in assets, up 17%, and the private bank added 417 net new relationships with…

Alastair Borthwickcompany“Buyback / Buy Back” · qa · 1:05:35Hear it 1:05:34, Alastair Borthwick

…right, there's a lot to unpack there. We don't guide on share buyback for lots of different reasons. It's definitely business as usual in terms…

Alastair Borthwickcompany“Zelle” · prepared · 18:39Hear it 18:39, Alastair Borthwick

Erica, Zelle, and AI-enabled tools are helping clients and helping employees to complete more activity faster and more consistently. That mix of relationship growth, digital…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/bank-of-america:2026-10-14:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=bank-of-america:2026-10-14:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP