Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 13, 2026

On its Oct 13, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q3), Johnson & Johnson said 10 of the 16 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

16 words · 10 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Ottava Yes1212✓90%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 12:05, Ottava–
Firefly Bio Yes99✓45%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 6:07, Firefly Bio–
Rybrevant Yes77✓91%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 5:13, Rybrevant–
Caplyta Yes44✓87%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 9:14, Caplyta–
Litigation Yes44✓72%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 15:26, Litigation–
Procedure Yes33✓92%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 12:37, Procedure–
Tecvayli Yes33✓81%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 5:01, Tecvayli–
China Yes22✓88%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 20:06, China–
Tariff Yes22✓86%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 21:38, Tariff–
Darzalex Faspro Yes11✓56%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 17:21, Darzalex Faspro–
Halda Therapeutics No00✓69%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Administration No00✓42%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No00✓35%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Nipocalimab / Lupus No00✓27%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Vaccine No00✓14%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Gene Therapy No00✓13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

7 matches for “Rybrevant”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Joaquin Duatocompanyprepared · 5:15Hear it 5:13, Joaquin Duato

…early as the second line of treatment. In solid tumors, sales of RYBREVANT increased by 64%, reflecting its strength in lung cancer. By the end…

Ryan Koorscompanyprepared · 17:35Hear it 17:34, Ryan Koors

In lung cancer, RYBREVANT plus LAZCLUZE delivered growth of 63.5%, with strong share gains in the first and second lines driven by continued launch uptake…

Joe Wolkcompanyprepared · 30:12Hear it 30:12, Joe Wolk

…invasive bladder cancer later this year. We also expect U.S. approval of RYBREVANT FASPRO in advanced head and neck cancer. In immunology, as Joaquin Duato…

Joaquin Duatocompanyqa · 52:41Hear it 52:36, Joaquin Duato

Both ICOTYDE and INLEXZO are going to be, together with RYBREVANT, key drivers of our growth acceleration, driving to double-digit growth. They will become one…

Joaquin Duatocompanyqa · 1:03:06Hear it 1:03:00, Joaquin Duato

…existing portfolio, including DARZALEX and TREMFYA, and newer products such as ICOTYDE, RYBREVANT, and INLEXZO, as they begin to contribute more meaningfully. We see similar…

Where the listed words were said

Joaquin Duatocompany“Ottava” · prepared · 12:07Hear it 12:04, Joaquin Duato

…advanced instrumentation. In July, the U.S. FDA granted De Novo authorization for OTTAVA, the world's first table integrated soft tissue robotic system. This is one…

Joaquin Duatocompany“Firefly Bio” · prepared · 6:09Hear it 6:06, Joaquin Duato

We completed our acquisition of Firefly Bio, adding a promising new degrader antibody conjugate platform that targets drivers of difficult-to-treat cancers, including KRAS. Our ambition…

Joaquin Duatocompany“Caplyta” · prepared · 9:16Hear it 9:16, Joaquin Duato

…complex nervous system disorders. Today, we are the definitive leader in neuropsychiatry. CAPLYTA reached $1 billion in year-to-date sales, making it our 29th billion-dollar platform.…

Ryan Koorscompany“Litigation” · prepared · 15:28Hear it 15:24, Ryan Koors

…year ago. Results in the quarter were impacted by the proposed talc litigation resolution, as well as expenses associated with the Firefly Bio transaction and…

Joaquin Duatocompany“Procedure” · prepared · 12:39Hear it 12:34, Joaquin Duato

…better surgical workflows. Its connection to our open digital ecosystem, Polyphonic, turns procedure data into actionable insights for clinicians. We already signed our first commercial…

Ryan Koorscompany“Tecvayli” · prepared · 17:12Hear it 17:12, Ryan Koors

…by share gains across earlier lines of therapy and continued site expansion. TECVAYLI growth was 77.3%, driven by launch uptake and share gains across earlier…

Ryan Koorscompany“China” · prepared · 20:08Hear it 20:04, Ryan Koors

…The decline is more notably driven by ongoing expansion of VBP in China, surgery transformation program outcomes across the portfolio, and Middle East disruption, which…

Ryan Koorscompany“Tariff” · prepared · 21:40Hear it 21:34, Ryan Koors

…and increased intangible asset amortization expense in the Innovative Medicine segment for Intra-Cellular, partially offset by the impact of tariff recoveries in the MedTech business.

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