Will Johnson & Johnson say “China”?

Johnson & Johnson said “China” 2 times on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 7, 5, 1, 1, 3, 2, 3, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Johnson & Johnson said “China” on 4 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 89% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

89%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=4Next: Earnings call, Jan 26, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 4 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
86¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Johnson & Johnson

China

Probability
89% · n=4
Settled
4/4 (100%)
Last calls
said in 8 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 13, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Ryan Koorscompanyprepared · 20:08Hear it 20:04, Ryan Koors In transcript

…The decline is more notably driven by ongoing expansion of VBP in China, surgery transformation program outcomes across the portfolio, and Middle East disruption, which…

Tim Schmidcompanyqa · 43:27Hear it 43:21, Tim Schmid In transcript

…of the transformation program and the ongoing expansion of volume-based procurement in China. In electrophysiology, competitive intensity, especially in Asia Pacific, which is a region…

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 15, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

3 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Ryan Koorscompanyprepared · 17:55Hear it 17:53, Ryan Koors In transcript

…offset by competitive PFA pressures. There was also a negative impact from China inventory, which we estimate to be 400 basis points. Abiomed saw a…

Ryan Koorscompanyprepared · 18:44Hear it 18:38, Ryan Koors In transcript

…commercial execution in biosurgery and wound closure, partially offset by VBP in China and surgery transformation across the portfolio, as well as competitive pressures in…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 14, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Darren Snellgrovecompanyprepared · 18:13Hear it 18:07, Darren Snellgrove In transcript

…and competitive pressures in Energy and Endocutters, as well as VBP in China across the portfolio. In Vision, Contact Lenses and other products grew 2.7%,…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 21, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 14, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 16, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 15, 2025 · said 5 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 22, 2025 · said 7 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 13, 2026ChinaKalshiYes2
Jul 15, 2026ChinaKalshiYes3
Apr 14, 2026ChinaKalshiYes2
Jan 21, 2026ChinaPolymarketYes3
Jan 21, 2026ChinaKalshiYes3

Questions

How many times did Johnson & Johnson say “China” on its last earnings call?
Johnson & Johnson said “China” 2 times on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 7, 5, 1, 1, 3, 2, 3, 2 times.
How often does Johnson & Johnson say “China”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Johnson & Johnson said “China” on 4 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026.
What is the probability Johnson & Johnson says “China” next time?
89%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Johnson & Johnson: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/JNJ/words/china (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=johnson-and-johnson&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=johnson-and-johnson&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP