Will Johnson & Johnson say “Firefly Bio”?

Johnson & Johnson said “Firefly Bio” 9 times on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 9 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Johnson & Johnson said “Firefly Bio” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 76% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

76%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Jan 26, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
87¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Johnson & Johnson

Firefly Bio

Probability
76% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 13, 2026 · said 9 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

9 counted (9 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Joaquin Duatocompanyprepared · 6:09Hear it 6:06, Joaquin Duato In transcript

We completed our acquisition of Firefly Bio, adding a promising new degrader antibody conjugate platform that targets drivers of difficult-to-treat cancers, including KRAS. Our ambition…

Ryan Koorscompanyprepared · 15:33Hear it 15:27, Ryan Koors In transcript

…by the proposed talc litigation resolution, as well as expenses associated with the Firefly Bio transaction and Sail Biomedicines collaboration, amounting to approximately $7 billion.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 15, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Joaquin Duatocompanyprepared · 7:35Hear it 7:29, Joaquin Duato In transcript

…our recent acquisition of Halda Therapeutics, we also announced plans to acquire Firefly Bio, adding another antibody platform that strengthens our leadership in next-generation oncology…

Joe Wolkcompanyprepared · 24:17Hear it 24:13, Joe Wolk In transcript

…A good example of that is the recently announced agreement to acquire Firefly Bio. The planned acquisition, expected to close in the third quarter of…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 14, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 21, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 14, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 16, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 15, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 22, 2025 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 13, 2026Firefly BioKalshiYes9

Questions

How many times did Johnson & Johnson say “Firefly Bio” on its last earnings call?
Johnson & Johnson said “Firefly Bio” 9 times on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 9 times.
How often does Johnson & Johnson say “Firefly Bio”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Johnson & Johnson said “Firefly Bio” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 13, 2026.
What is the probability Johnson & Johnson says “Firefly Bio” next time?
76%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Johnson & Johnson: ‘Firefly Bio’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/JNJ/words/firefly-bio (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=johnson-and-johnson&word=firefly%20bio · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=johnson-and-johnson&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP