Tim Scott
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 11 word markets on Tim Scott’s appearances since 2026, on 11 different words.
History Wall
1–11 of 11, most settled first| Word | Aug 23latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El-Sayed / Abdul | 3 times: El-Sayed / Abdul, Aug 23 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Graham / Lindsey / Darline | 12 times: Graham / Lindsey / Darline, Aug 23 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Democrat | 9 times: Democrat, Aug 23 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Election / Midterm | 1 time: Election / Midterm, Aug 23 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Trump / President | 25 times: Trump / President, Aug 23 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Senate / Senator | 12 times: Senate / Senator, Aug 23 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| America First / American Dream | 0 times: America First / American Dream, Aug 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | 0 times: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Aug 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Clarity Act | 0 times: Clarity Act, Aug 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Hamas / Israel | 0 times: Hamas / Israel, Aug 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Save Act / Save America Act | 0 times: Save Act / Save America Act, Aug 23 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Tim Scott say during Meet the Press? | Captions · machine-attributed | 12 | 6 yes · 6 no | 11/11 (100%) |
Citeparrot.markets, “Tim Scott: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tim-scott (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/tim-scott · words: /api/v1/history?entity=tim-scott · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP