Constellation Brands: FY26 Q4 earnings call, Apr 9, 2026

On its Apr 9, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q4), Constellation Brands said 9 of the 13 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

13 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Wine Yes1115✓79%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 2:55, Wine–
Headwind Yes1010✓91%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 9:32, Headwind–
Inventory Yes45✓77%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 13:12, Inventory–
Aluminum Yes23✓60%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 10:49, Aluminum–
Especial Yes23✓30%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 5:19, Especial–
Tariff Yes11✓88%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 10:50, Tariff–
Depletion / Depletions Yes11✓75%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 8:02, Depletion / Depletions–
California Yes11✓74%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 22:55, California–
Dividend Yes11✓43%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 25:23, Dividend–
Inflation No00✓56%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Holiday No00✓47%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Cannabis No00✓43%transcripts from the transcript model–
ICE No00✓12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

19 matches for “Consumer”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Nicholas Finkcompanyprepared · 3:08Hear it 3:07, Nicholas Fink

While the consumer landscape remains dynamic, I firmly believe that we are well-positioned to continue delivering for our consumers, employees, distributors, and shareholders over the…

Nicholas Finkcompanyprepared · 3:36Hear it 3:34, Nicholas Fink

…ability to execute going forward. We will continue to be insights-driven and consumer-obsessed, lean into our strengths in beer, allocate capital with discipline, and generate…

Nicholas Finkcompanyprepared · 4:11Hear it 4:05, Nicholas Fink

…this business, in our iconic brand portfolio, our route to market, in consumer-led marketing, our best-in-class operations, and most importantly, our talented people. These strengths…

Bill Newlandscompanyprepared · 4:50Hear it 4:46, Bill Newlands

…fiscal 2026. It was a year that required agility and focus as consumers continued to navigate a tough economic backdrop with more selective shopping behavior,…

Bill Newlandscompanyqa · 7:44Hear it 7:40, Bill Newlands

…limited visibility. Things have been very volatile in terms of what the consumer reaction has been, and our continuing research suggests that the consumer is…

Where the listed words were said

Bill Newlandscompany“Wine” · prepared · 5:30Hear it 5:30, Bill Newlands

In wine and spirits, our efforts to reshape the portfolio are gaining traction with strong contributions from brands like Kim Crawford and Mi Campo. Lastly,…

Garth Hankinsoncompany“Headwind” · qa · 9:34Hear it 9:32, Garth Hankinson

…You're right. We've guided to 37%-38% margins. I'll tell you what the headwinds are and then what we're doing to offset those headwinds. You rightfully…

Garth Hankinsoncompany“Inventory” · qa · 13:14Hear it 13:08, Garth Hankinson

…category pressures, channel headwinds, the timing of our cost deleveraging, and distributor inventory rebalancing. Starting with the category headwinds, we've seen a material downgrade in…

Garth Hankinsoncompany“Aluminum” · qa · 10:51Hear it 10:46, Garth Hankinson

…We additionally, as you saw in our materials, will have relief from aluminum tariffs this year. As it relates to beyond FY 2027, we're not…

Bill Newlandscompany“Especial” · qa · 32:30Hear it 32:24, Bill Newlands

…to well over 400 million cases, nearly double the size of Modelo Especial, and made it the number one selling beer brand by dollars in…

Bill Newlandscompany“California” · qa · 22:57Hear it 22:53, Bill Newlands

…in the takeaway. It was probably most notable in the state of California, which is part of the reason you've seen very strong Circana data…

Bill Newlandscompany“Dividend” · qa · 25:25Hear it 25:23, Bill Newlands

…think are important for the long run. It's continuing to do the dividend. More importantly, we've continued to return dollars to shareholders. Over $900 million…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/constellation-brands:2026-04-09:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=constellation-brands:2026-04-09:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP