NVIDIA (NVDA): FY26 Q4 earnings call, Feb 25, 2026
On its Feb 25, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q4), NVIDIA said 6 of the 17 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 17 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
17 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 17 of 17- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperscaler | Yes | 6 | 10 | ✓ | 79%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Gaming | Yes | 4 | 6 | ✓ | 89%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Self Driving | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 66%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Omniverse | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 87%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Cosmos | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 72%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Talent | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 29%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| H20 | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 87%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| TSMC | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 72%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Automation | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 54%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Humanoid | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 33%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Trump | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Taiwan | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Domestic | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 26%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| Arizona | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 26%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| GM / General Motors | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 21%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| VR / Virtual Reality | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
6 matches for “China”; 3 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…AI proportional to their GDP. While small amounts of H200 products for China-based customers were approved by the U.S. government, we have yet to generate…
…be the platform for choice for every commercial business, including those in China. We will continue to engage with the U.S. and China government and…
…last quarter, we are not assuming any data center compute revenue from China in our outlook. GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be…
Where the listed words were said
…revenue across a diverse and expanding set of customers, including cloud providers, hyperscalers, AI model makers, enterprises and sovereign nations. Demand for our Blackwell architecture,…
…We expect every cloud model builder to deploy Vera Rubin. Moving to gaming. Gaming revenue of $3.7 billion increased 47% year-on-year, driven by strong Blackwell…
…million was up 6% year-over-year and was driven by robust demand for self-driving solutions. At CES, we introduced Alpamayo, the world's first open portfolio of…
…partnerships with Dassault Systemes, Siemens and Synopsys to bring NVIDIA AI infrastructure Omniverse digital twins, World Models and CUDA-X libraries to millions of researchers, designers…
…NVIDIA's platform. We continue to advance robotics development. With the new NVIDIA Cosmos and Isaac Group, open models, frameworks and NVIDIA's powered robots and autonomous…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/nvidia:2026-02-25:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=nvidia:2026-02-25:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP