Will NVIDIA say “Taiwan”?

NVIDIA said “Taiwan” 1 time on its Aug 26, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, NVIDIA said “Taiwan” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 26, 2025 (20%), most recently on Aug 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

33%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=5Next: Earnings call, Nov 18, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
42¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

NVIDIA

Taiwan

Probability
33% · n=5
Settled
1/5 (20%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY27 Q2 earnings call, Aug 26, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Colette Kresscompanyprepared · 15:02Hear it 14:56, Colette Kress In transcript

…emerging everywhere. Firebird in Armenia, Cassava Technologies across Africa, GMI Cloud in Taiwan, Yotta and Neysa in India, Firmus in Australia, YTL AI Cloud in…

FY27 Q1 earnings call, May 20, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q4 earnings call, Feb 25, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q3 earnings call, Nov 19, 2025 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 27, 2025 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 28, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Colette KresscompanypreparedIn transcript

…are strategically vital sovereign clouds like those recently announced in Saudi Arabia, Taiwan, and the UAE. We have a line of sight to projects requiring…

Jensen HuangcompanypreparedIn transcript

…national AI platforms to elevate their digital capabilities. At Computex, we announced Taiwan's first AI factory in partnership with Foxconn and the Taiwan government. Last…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 26, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 20, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 7 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 26, 2026TaiwanPolymarketYes1
Aug 26, 2026TaiwanKalshiYes1
May 20, 2026TaiwanKalshiNo0
Feb 25, 2026TaiwanKalshiNo0
Nov 19, 2025TaiwanPolymarketNo0
Nov 19, 2025TaiwanKalshiNo0
Feb 26, 2025TaiwanKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did NVIDIA say “Taiwan” on its last earnings call?
NVIDIA said “Taiwan” 1 time on its Aug 26, 2026 call (FY27 Q2), and on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1 times.
How often does NVIDIA say “Taiwan”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, NVIDIA said “Taiwan” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 26, 2025 (20%), most recently on Aug 26, 2026.
What is the probability NVIDIA says “Taiwan” next time?
33%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “NVIDIA: ‘Taiwan’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/NVDA/words/taiwan (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nvidia&word=taiwan · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nvidia&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP