Coinbase (COIN): FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 12, 2026

Thu, Feb 12Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptCoinbase

On its Feb 12, 2026 earnings call (FY25 Q4), Coinbase said 13 of the 15 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

15 words · 13 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Stablecoin Yes3434✓97%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Subscription Yes1010✓92%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Bitcoin Yes66✓93%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Ethereum / ETH Yes55✓86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation Yes44✓95%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Custodial / Custody Yes33✓94%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Regulator / Regulatory Yes33✓94%transcripts from the transcript model–
Staking / Stake Yes33✓90%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
SEC / Securities and Exchange Commission Yes22✓91%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Institution / Institutional Yes11✓96%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
International Yes11✓90%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Margin Yes11✓87%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Decentralized Exchange / DEX Yes11✓86%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Blockchain No00✓88%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Web3 No00✓41%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

7 matches for “Trading Volume”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Brian Armstrongcompanyprepared

…Everything Exchange in Q4 and are seeing early signs of success. Global trading volume and market share doubled year-over-year, reaching new all-time highs. Just last…

Brian Armstrongcompanyprepared

…into them. So that's the first reason. Number two, we've doubled our trading volume and market share year-over-year. We started off as the leader in…

Alesia Haascompanyprepared

…cap was down 11% quarter-over-quarter. However, we outperformed the market on total trading volume, driven by strong derivatives volume growth. Deribit saw another all-time high…

Alesia Haascompanyqa

…remain undefected. This was a result of a technical issue, unrelated to trading volume, unrelated to any market conditions. The issue is now resolved. We've…

Alesia Haascompanyqa

…mix shift with more volume going to our advanced product and more trading volume coming from Coinbase One users. So as we grow our Coinbase…

Where the listed words were said

Brian Armstrongcompany“Stablecoin” · prepared

…and Base set a new transaction all-time high with AI agents adopting stablecoin wallets. Base is quickly establishing itself as the onchain home for AI.…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Subscription” · prepared

…We now have 12 products doing over $100 million in annualized revenue. Subscription and services revenue hit all-time highs, up 5.5x from the peak in…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Bitcoin” · prepared

[Audio Gap] crypto prices, but Bitcoin remains the best-performing asset class of the past decade. We've been through cycles like this many times at Coinbase…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Ethereum / ETH” · qa

…of use cases. So it's -- our goal is to help it be really like the primary utility layer for crypto, all built on Ethereum.

Anil Guptacompany“Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation” · qa

…et cetera. What's Coinbase's view on the Base L2 value prop going forward in this respect? And how might potential DeFi regulations shape Base's future?

Brian Armstrongcompany“Custodial / Custody” · prepared

…and this is the broad term that we use for DeFi, self custodial wallets and full adoption of decentralized technology as opposed to centralized intermediaries.…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Regulator / Regulatory” · qa

…this industry -- repatriate those reserves and bring it within the U.S. regulatory perimeter, they're going to have to be competitive and paying rewards is…

Alesia Haascompany“Staking / Stake” · prepared

…average crypto price environment we are in, lower interest rates and lower staking protocol rewards rates compared to the fourth quarter. On the expense side,…

Anil Guptacompany“SEC / Securities and Exchange Commission” · prepared

…factors that could cause these results to differ is included in our SEC filings. Our discussion today will also include certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Institution / Institutional” · prepared

…the most trusted brand in crypto, and we work with thousands of institutions, including 5 G-SIB banks and 150 government agencies. Just as one example,…

Alesia Haascompany“International” · qa

…in 2026. We have good momentum both across the U.S. and our international markets. We have momentum coming from the integration of options into our…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Decentralized Exchange / DEX” · prepared

…been able to offer. So for example, we were early to offer DEX trading, which now allows us to have millions of crypto assets available…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/coinbase:2026-02-12:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=coinbase:2026-02-12:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP