Nike (NKE): FY26 Q2 earnings call, Dec 18, 2025

Thu, Dec 18Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptNike

On its Dec 18, 2025 earnings call (FY26 Q2), Nike said 7 of the 16 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

16 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
China Yes2833✓97%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tariff Yes1011✓85%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Sustainable Yes88✓83%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Skims / NikeSKIMS Yes33✓51%transcripts from the transcript model–
Supply Chain Yes22✓86%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Black Friday Yes22✓29%transcripts from the transcript model–
Sabrina Yes11✓74%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Express Lane No00✓66%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Nike Factory No00✓66%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Amazon No00✓58%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Dividend No00✓50%transcripts from the transcript model–
Retailer No00✓27%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Consumer Demand No00✓19%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Stranger Thing No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Direct to Consumer / DTC No00✓15%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Digital Sales No00✓11%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

5 matches for “Holiday”; 4 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Elliott Hillcompanyprepared

…by thanking all of you for joining on the eve of a holiday week here in the United States and many parts of the world.…

Matt Friendcompanyprepared

Thanks, Elliott, and happy holidays to everyone on the call. Our second quarter results demonstrated the resilience of our portfolio. With modest year-over-year reported top-line…

Simeon Siegelanalystqa

…Hey, guys. I hope you and your families have a very happy holiday and New Year season. So, Elliott, just to follow-up a little bit,…

Elliott Hillcompanyqa

Yep. Simeon, thanks. And also wishing you and your family a happy holidays as well. In terms of North America growth, running obviously is a…

Where the listed words were said

Elliott Hillcompany“China” · prepared

…straight line. But we're acting decisively to accelerate the lagging areas with China at the top of that list. At year-end, it's clear how important…

Elliott Hillcompany“Tariff” · prepared

…clean up and elevate the marketplace have put real pressures on margins. Tariffs have also obviously added a significant headwind to overcome. I want to…

Elliott Hillcompany“Sustainable” · prepared

…relationships, create meaningful stories and consumer connection, and ultimately drive profitable and sustainable revenue in both wholesale and direct. EMEA activated their sport offense on…

Elliott Hillcompany“Skims / NikeSKIMS” · prepared

…And we believe that it has great potential to be scaled. Our NIKE skims collection will launch internationally in EMEA and APLA in the same…

Matt Friendcompany“Supply Chain” · qa

…headwind of tariffs. Another big opportunity for us is to leverage the supply chain cost as we grow. And that's been a meaningful headwind over…

Matt Friendcompany“Black Friday” · prepared

…markdown rates, and increased demand at full price. Nike.com posted its best Black Friday ever this year. Partially driven by strong sell-through of the Jordan…

Elliott Hillcompany“Sabrina” · qa

…EMEA and APLA next. Next quarter at basketball. We're dimensionalizing through women's. Sabrina, Asian, Asia, and now we have Caitlin coming. And our men's business…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/nike:2025-12-18:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=nike:2025-12-18:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP