Will Nike say “China”?
Nike said “China” 36 times on its Oct 1, 2026 call (FY27 Q1), and on each of its last 8 calls: 18, 17, 18, 28, 33, 17, 20, 36 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Nike said “China” on 5 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 20, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jun 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 97% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Nike
China
- Probability
- 97% · n=5
- Settled
- 5/5 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
30 counted (12 in prepared remarks, 18 in Q&A); 6 by speakers the rule does not count.
…offset the pressure we're seeing in Nike Sportswear, Jordan Brand, and Greater China. We're taking deliberate actions to strengthen those businesses, but realizing the full…
…long term. Let me start with Nike Sportswear, Jordan Brand, and Greater China. We've identified the areas that need improvement and are actively repositioning these…
Counts: company speakers + operator
19 counted (8 in prepared remarks, 11 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…better and creating a more profitable business. That's especially important in Greater China, a critical long-term growth market for Nike, where we are fully committed…
…our leaders and our plans to restore long-term marketplace health in Greater China. Converse sharpened its strategy this quarter. It's getting clearer on the role…
Counts: company speakers + operator
15 counted (9 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…company. At the same time, other parts of the portfolio, including Greater China, Converse, and Sportswear, are still earlier in their comebacks. We have new…
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Nike say “China” on its last earnings call?
- Nike said “China” 36 times on its Oct 1, 2026 call (FY27 Q1), and on each of its last 8 calls: 18, 17, 18, 28, 33, 17, 20, 36 times.
- How often does Nike say “China”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Nike said “China” on 5 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 20, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jun 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Nike says “China” next time?
- 97%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Nike: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/NKE/words/china (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nike&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nike&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP