RBC (RY): FY25 Q4 earnings call, Dec 3, 2025

Wed, Dec 3Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptRBC

On its Dec 3, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q4), RBC said 8 of the 10 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 10 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

10 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 10 of 10

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Synergy Yes77✓88%transcripts from the transcript model–
Buyback Yes77✓79%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tariff Yes55✓89%transcripts from the transcript model–
Volatility Yes44✓81%transcripts from the transcript model–
Renewal Yes34✓69%transcripts from the transcript model–
Competition Yes22✓61%transcripts from the transcript model–
Stimulus Yes22✓43%transcripts from the transcript model–
Affordability Yes11✓50%transcripts from the transcript model–
Retention No01✓71%transcripts from the transcript model–
Recession No00✓57%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

5 matches for “Tariff”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

David Mc Kaycompanyprepared

…tensions, while other parts of the economy remain resilient. As Canada's effective tariff rate remains low and as Canadian exports to the U.S. remains solid,…

Katherine Gibsoncompanyprepared

…agriculture, health care and public sector, partly offset by slower growth in tariff-impacted sectors, including manufacturing and logistics. Commercial real estate continues to face cyclical…

Graeme Hepworthcompanyprepared

…these regions. Additionally, softness in these regions and uncertainty from U.S. sectoral tariffs have had a greater relative impact on economically sensitive sectors in the…

Graeme Hepworthcompanyprepared

…Credit outcomes will continue to depend on the extent and duration of tariffs, the effectiveness of announced fiscal support and stimulus measures and the performance…

Derek Neldnercompanyqa

…volatility. Obviously, there's uncertainty around the economy, the direction of rates, inflation, tariffs, et cetera, that is driving a fair bit of trading activity, and…

Where the listed words were said

Katherine Gibsoncompany“Synergy” · prepared

…the growth. This was partly offset by continued expense discipline and cost synergies related to the acquisition of HSBC Bank Canada. On taxes, the adjusted…

David Mc Kaycompany“Buyback” · prepared

…6%. We further returned capital to shareholders through $1 billion of share buybacks of nearly 5 million common shares this quarter. Through an annual review…

Derek Neldnercompany“Volatility” · qa

…think, really been a key to our ability to successfully deliver lower volatility results than our global peers. And so when you look at the…

Graeme Hepworthcompany“Renewal” · prepared

…effect of higher unemployment, consumer insolvencies and ongoing payment shocks for mortgage renewals in Canada. We continue to monitor the performance of the condo segments.…

David Mc Kaycompany“Competition” · prepared

…PCL amidst an uncertain macro backdrop. Despite unfavorable business sentiment and heightened competition, average commercial banking deposits and loans were up 10% and 16%, respectively.…

Graeme Hepworthcompany“Stimulus” · prepared

…However, economic growth will remain relatively modest and lagged impacts from fiscal stimulus could leave certain sectors and regions under pressure. Based on this backdrop,…

David Mc Kaycompany“Affordability” · prepared

…investing disposable income in growing markets, while less affluent consumers struggle with affordability. Over the medium term, the federal government's infrastructure and defense spend should…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/rbc:2025-12-03:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=rbc:2025-12-03:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP