Will RBC say “Recession”?
RBC said “Recession” 1 time on its Aug 27, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 4, 1, 0, 1, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, RBC said “Recession” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 3, 2025 (33%), most recently on Feb 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
RBC
Recession
- Probability
- 45% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…downside scenarios, including our trade disruption scenario, which contemplates a North American recession driven by an escalating global trade war and rising geopolitical risks. Turning…
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…all exports but also reflects the potential for a severe North American recession driven by escalating global trade wars. When certain trade conditions have widened…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…a new trade-related scenario, reflecting the potential for a severe North American recession driven by an escalating global trade war and rising geopolitical risks. Given…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did RBC say “Recession” on its last earnings call?
- RBC said “Recession” 1 time on its Aug 27, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 4, 1, 0, 1, 0, 1 times.
- How often does RBC say “Recession”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, RBC said “Recession” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 3, 2025 (33%), most recently on Feb 26, 2026.
- What is the probability RBC says “Recession” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “RBC: ‘Recession’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/RY/words/recession (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=rbc&word=recession · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=rbc&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP