RBC (RY)
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 32 word markets on RBC’s earnings calls since 2025, on 13 different words.
History Wall
1–13 of 13, most settled first| Word | Q4’24Dec '24 | Q1’25Feb '25 | Q2’25May '25 | Q3’25Aug '25 | Q4’25Dec '25 | Q1’26Feb '26 | Q2’26May '26 | Q3’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buyback | 4 times: Buyback, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said | 2 times: Buyback, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: Buyback, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 3 times: Buyback, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 7 times: Buyback, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said | 9 times: Buyback, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 5 times: Buyback, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 5 times: Buyback, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 41/5969% | 94%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Competition | 2 times: Competition, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said | 1 time: Competition, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: Competition, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Competition, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 2 times: Competition, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said | 6 times: Competition, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Competition, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 2 times: Competition, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 6/875% | 33/5956% | 86%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Tariff | 1 time: Tariff, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said | 22 times: Tariff, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 16 times: Tariff, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 11 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 5 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said | 9 times: Tariff, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 5 times: Tariff, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 10 times: Tariff, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 11/5919% | 94%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Volatility | 2 times: Volatility, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said | 2 times: Volatility, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 8 times: Volatility, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Volatility, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 4 times: Volatility, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said | 5 times: Volatility, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 5 times: Volatility, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Volatility, Q3’26 Aug '26 | steady | 7/888% | 6/875% | 57/5997% | 84%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Affordability | 1 time: Affordability, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said | 0 times: Affordability, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 1 time: Affordability, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Affordability, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: Affordability, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said | 1 time: Affordability, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Affordability, Q2’26 May '26 | 0 times: Affordability, Q3’26 Aug '26 | falling | 5/862% | 4/850% | 13/5922% | 43%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Retention | 8 times: Retention, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said | 0 times: Retention, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Retention, Q2’25 May '25 | 1 time: Retention, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Retention, Q4’25 Dec '25 | 1 time: Retention, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Retention, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 4 times: Retention, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | falling | 5/862% | 4/850% | 25/5942% | 70%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Stimulus | 0 times: Stimulus, Q4’24 Dec '24 | 0 times: Stimulus, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 0 times: Stimulus, Q2’25 May '25 | 3 times: Stimulus, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 2 times: Stimulus, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said | 0 times: Stimulus, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 0 times: Stimulus, Q2’26 May '26 | 0 times: Stimulus, Q3’26 Aug '26 | steady | 2/825% | 2/825% | 8/5914% | 35%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Synergy | 8 times: Synergy, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said | 3 times: Synergy, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 3 times: Synergy, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 6 times: Synergy, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 7 times: Synergy, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said | 5 times: Synergy, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Synergy, Q2’26 May '26 | 2 times: Synergy, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | falling | 7/888% | 6/875% | 28/5947% | 82%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Recession | 0 times: Recession, Q4’24 Dec '24 | 0 times: Recession, Q1’25 Feb '25 | 4 times: Recession, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Recession, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Recession, Q4’25 Dec '25 | 1 time: Recession, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Recession, Q2’26 May '26 | 1 time: Recession, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 4/850% | 4/850% | 14/5924% | 45%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Renewal | 7 times: Renewal, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said | 1 time: Renewal, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 3 times: Renewal, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Renewal, Q3’25 Aug '25 | 3 times: Renewal, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said | 3 times: Renewal, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Renewal, Q2’26 May '26 | 1 time: Renewal, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | falling | 6/875% | 6/875% | 20/5934% | 68%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Headwind | 2 times: Headwind, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said | 1 time: Headwind, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: Headwind, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 4 times: Headwind, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 3 times: Headwind, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said | 11 times: Headwind, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 6 times: Headwind, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 7 times: Headwind, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 43/5973% | 93%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Tailwind | 2 times: Tailwind, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said | 3 times: Tailwind, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 2 times: Tailwind, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Tailwind, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Tailwind, Q4’25 Dec '25 | 4 times: Tailwind, Q1’26 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Tailwind, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 1 time: Tailwind, Q3’26 Aug '26, counts as said | falling | 7/888% | 5/862% | 25/5942% | 78%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Inflation | 4 times: Inflation, Q4’24 Dec '24, counts as said | 2 times: Inflation, Q1’25 Feb '25, counts as said | 3 times: Inflation, Q2’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Inflation, Q3’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: Inflation, Q4’25 Dec '25, counts as said | 0 times: Inflation, Q1’26 Feb '26 | 4 times: Inflation, Q2’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Inflation, Q3’26 Aug '26 | falling | 6/875% | 5/862% | 26/5944% | 52%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 31 of 32 settled words resolved (96.9%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 28, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 12 | 7 yes · 5 no | 12/12 (100%) |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 10 | 9 yes · 1 no | 9/10 (90%) |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 10 | 8 yes · 2 no | 10/10 (100%) |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 29, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 30, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 30, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “RBC (RY): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/RY (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/rbc · words: /api/v1/history?entity=rbc · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP