RBC (RY): FY25 Q4 earnings call, Dec 3, 2025

Wed, Dec 3Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptRBC

On its Dec 3, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q4), RBC said 8 of the 10 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 10 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

10 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 10 of 10

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Synergy Yes77✓88%transcripts from the transcript model–
Buyback Yes77✓79%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tariff Yes55✓89%transcripts from the transcript model–
Volatility Yes44✓81%transcripts from the transcript model–
Renewal Yes34✓69%transcripts from the transcript model–
Competition Yes22✓61%transcripts from the transcript model–
Stimulus Yes22✓43%transcripts from the transcript model–
Affordability Yes11✓50%transcripts from the transcript model–
Retention No01✓71%transcripts from the transcript model–
Recession No00✓57%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

1 match for “Inflation”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Derek Neldnercompanyqa

…of volatility. Obviously, there's uncertainty around the economy, the direction of rates, inflation, tariffs, et cetera, that is driving a fair bit of trading activity,…

Where the listed words were said

Katherine Gibsoncompany“Synergy” · prepared

…the growth. This was partly offset by continued expense discipline and cost synergies related to the acquisition of HSBC Bank Canada. On taxes, the adjusted…

David Mc Kaycompany“Buyback” · prepared

…6%. We further returned capital to shareholders through $1 billion of share buybacks of nearly 5 million common shares this quarter. Through an annual review…

David Mc Kaycompany“Tariff” · prepared

…tensions, while other parts of the economy remain resilient. As Canada's effective tariff rate remains low and as Canadian exports to the U.S. remains solid,…

Derek Neldnercompany“Volatility” · qa

…think, really been a key to our ability to successfully deliver lower volatility results than our global peers. And so when you look at the…

Graeme Hepworthcompany“Renewal” · prepared

…Ontario and the Greater Toronto area, coupled with higher payments at mortgage renewal have contributed to rising consumer impairments in these regions. Additionally, softness in…

David Mc Kaycompany“Competition” · prepared

…PCL amidst an uncertain macro backdrop. Despite unfavorable business sentiment and heightened competition, average commercial banking deposits and loans were up 10% and 16%, respectively.…

Graeme Hepworthcompany“Stimulus” · prepared

…However, economic growth will remain relatively modest and lagged impacts from fiscal stimulus could leave certain sectors and regions under pressure. Based on this backdrop,…

David Mc Kaycompany“Affordability” · prepared

…investing disposable income in growing markets, while less affluent consumers struggle with affordability. Over the medium term, the federal government's infrastructure and defense spend should…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/rbc:2025-12-03:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=rbc:2025-12-03:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP