Target (TGT): FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 19, 2025

Wed, Nov 19Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptTarget

On its Nov 19, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q3), Target said 4 of the 12 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

12 words · 4 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Holiday Yes1617✓93%transcripts from the transcript model–
Circle 360 Yes55✓91%transcripts from the transcript model–
Beauty Yes22✓92%transcripts from the transcript model–
Labor Yes11✓32%transcripts from the transcript model–
Innovation No00✓78%transcripts from the transcript model–
Inflation No00✓74%transcripts from the transcript model–
Revenue No00✓57%transcripts from the transcript model–
Black Friday No00✓57%transcripts from the transcript model–
Competition No00✓26%transcripts from the transcript model–
SNAP / Food Stamp No00✓20%transcripts from the transcript model–
Netflix No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Shutdown / Shut Down No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

10 matches for “Remodel”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Michael Fiddelkecompanyprepared

…merchandising authority and an elevated experience. Our investments in new stores, store remodels and chain-wide category changes aimed at providing greater inspiration in joy for…

James Leecompanyprepared

…up our capital spending meaningfully in support of our store experience and remodel program, a step-up in technology and digital fulfillment capabilities and investment in…

Michael Fiddelkecompanyqa

…place where you'll see us continue to lean in is in store remodels and refreshing the existing fleet of stores. And while we've been talking…

Michael Fiddelkecompanyqa

…continue to see strong sales lifts that justify the investment in those remodels. And so for the stores that haven't yet seen a remodel, we…

Michael Fiddelkecompanyqa

…place where you'll see us continue to lean in is in store remodels and refreshing the existing fleet of stores. And while we've been talking…

Where the listed words were said

Michael Fiddelkecompany“Holiday” · prepared

…finding the products you want to need every time you shop. This holiday season, we're using our expertise and deep consumer knowledge in a new…

Michael Fiddelkecompany“Circle 360” · prepared

…around 80% of the U.S. population with same-day delivery powered by Target Circle 360, where sales grew more than 35% again this past quarter, and…

Richard Gomezcompany“Beauty” · prepared

…prioritizing value, they're spending it matters most, especially in food, essentials and beauty, while looking for trend-right deals in discretionary categories. They want quality and…

Michael Fiddelkecompany“Labor” · prepared

…we're pushing more digital fulfillment volume their way. And, of course, more labor hours to support this work, creating economies of scale in a more…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/target:2025-11-19:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=target:2025-11-19:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP