Will Target say “Holiday”?
Target did not say “Holiday” on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 30, 10, 2, 1, 16, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Target said “Holiday” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (50%), most recently on Nov 19, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 69% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Target
Holiday
- Probability
- 69% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
16 counted (12 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…finding the products you want to need every time you shop. This holiday season, we're using our expertise and deep consumer knowledge in a new…
…easily help guests find the right presence for every person on their holiday shopping list. For guest shopping in our stores and online, we're also…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…just around the corner, including our plans for Halloween and the Q4 holiday from pumpkins to throw blankets and decor to Halloween candy and costumes,…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…moments in the first quarter, including both the Valentine's Day and Easter holidays. In addition, we were pleased with the guest's response to our most…
…has long been known as the go-to place for key moments, including holidays, the turning of the seasons, and other celebrations. In the first quarter,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Target say “Holiday” on its last earnings call?
- Target did not say “Holiday” on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 30, 10, 2, 1, 16, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Target say “Holiday”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Target said “Holiday” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (50%), most recently on Nov 19, 2025.
- What is the probability Target says “Holiday” next time?
- 69%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Target: ‘Holiday’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TGT/words/holiday (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=target&word=holiday · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=target&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP