Will Target say “Black Friday”?
Target did not say “Black Friday” on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 5, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Target did not say “Black Friday” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 19, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 16% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Target
Black Friday
- Probability
- 16% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…better exemplifies this than our Taylor Swift exclusives. The record-breaking event made Black Friday buzzworthy again. Guests lined up outside our stores and drove huge…
…Target a go-to for big moments in culture. You saw that on Black Friday with a huge Taylor Swift release that Brian mentioned. We were…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
5 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…the holiday season. And new this year, we recently held an early Black Friday sale just a couple of weeks ago. It's hard to believe…
…team members to celebrate with loved ones, will be back added on Black Friday to keep the holiday momentum going. And when you don't feel…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Black Friday |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Black Friday | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Target say “Black Friday” on its last earnings call?
- Target did not say “Black Friday” on its Aug 19, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 5, 3, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Target say “Black Friday”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Target did not say “Black Friday” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 19, 2025.
- What is the probability Target says “Black Friday” next time?
- 16%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Target: ‘Black Friday’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TGT/words/black-friday (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=target&word=black%20friday · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=target&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP