Target (TGT): FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 19, 2025
On its Nov 19, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q3), Target said 4 of the 12 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
12 words · 4 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holiday | Yes | 16 | 17 | ✓ | 93%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Circle 360 | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 91%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Beauty | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 92%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Labor | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 32%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Innovation | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 78%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Inflation | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 74%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Revenue | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 57%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Black Friday | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 57%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Competition | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 26%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| SNAP / Food Stamp | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 20%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Netflix | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
1 match for “Labor”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…we're pushing more digital fulfillment volume their way. And, of course, more labor hours to support this work, creating economies of scale in a more…
Where the listed words were said
…finding the products you want to need every time you shop. This holiday season, we're using our expertise and deep consumer knowledge in a new…
…around 80% of the U.S. population with same-day delivery powered by Target Circle 360, where sales grew more than 35% again this past quarter, and…
…prioritizing value, they're spending it matters most, especially in food, essentials and beauty, while looking for trend-right deals in discretionary categories. They want quality and…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/target:2025-11-19:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=target:2025-11-19:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP