Circle (CRCL): FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 12, 2025

Wed, Nov 12Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptCircle

On its Nov 12, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q3), Circle said 6 of the 8 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 8 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

8 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 8 of 8

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Testnet Yes1111✓–new new word, no probability yet–
M&A Yes68✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Treasury Yes22✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Fintech Yes11✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Kraken Yes11✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Traffic Yes11✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Acceleration No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Shutdown / Shut Down No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

1 match for “Traffic”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Jeremy Allairecompanyprepared

…bridge providers that we track, CCTP represented 47% of all of that traffic. In October, it was over 50%. This is really key as we…

Where the listed words were said

Jeremy Allairecompany“Testnet” · prepared

…we've delivered continued expansion in our platform. We launched Arc into public testnet in recent weeks with over 100 major participants. I'm going to talk…

Jeremy Fox-Geencompany“M&A” · qa

And then just taking the M&A part of your question. When we've talked about M&A and our internal M&A strategy, right, we see M&A as…

Jeremy Allairecompany“Treasury” · prepared

…that are built for the Internet economy, application utilities for payments, commerce, treasury management, capital formation, lending, governance and many other applications that are fundamental…

Jeremy Allairecompany“Fintech” · prepared

…every major category of the financial industry, major payments firms, technology companies, fintechs and broad support across the digital asset markets industry. From Apollo to…

Jeremy Allairecompany“Kraken” · prepared

…world, including with leading companies such as Brex, Deutsche Börse, Fireblocks, Finastra, Kraken and Itaú, the largest bank in Latin America. These are all key…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/circle:2025-11-12:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=circle:2025-11-12:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP