Circle (CRCL): FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 12, 2025

Wed, Nov 12Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptCircle

On its Nov 12, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q3), Circle said 6 of the 8 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 8 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

8 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 8 of 8

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Testnet Yes1111✓–new new word, no probability yet–
M&A Yes68✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Treasury Yes22✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Fintech Yes11✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Kraken Yes11✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Traffic Yes11✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Acceleration No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Shutdown / Shut Down No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

1 match for “Fintech”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Jeremy Allairecompanyprepared

…every major category of the financial industry, major payments firms, technology companies, fintechs and broad support across the digital asset markets industry. From Apollo to…

Where the listed words were said

Jeremy Allairecompany“Testnet” · prepared

…we've delivered continued expansion in our platform. We launched Arc into public testnet in recent weeks with over 100 major participants. I'm going to talk…

Jeremy Fox-Geencompany“M&A” · qa

And then just taking the M&A part of your question. When we've talked about M&A and our internal M&A strategy, right, we see M&A as…

Jeremy Allairecompany“Treasury” · prepared

…that are built for the Internet economy, application utilities for payments, commerce, treasury management, capital formation, lending, governance and many other applications that are fundamental…

Jeremy Allairecompany“Kraken” · prepared

…world, including with leading companies such as Brex, Deutsche Börse, Fireblocks, Finastra, Kraken and Itaú, the largest bank in Latin America. These are all key…

Jeremy Allairecompany“Traffic” · prepared

…bridge providers that we track, CCTP represented 47% of all of that traffic. In October, it was over 50%. This is really key as we…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/circle:2025-11-12:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=circle:2025-11-12:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP