Bank of America (BAC): FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 15, 2025

On its Oct 15, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q3), Bank of America said 12 of the 14 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

14 words · 12 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Trading Yes1213✓91%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 2:47, Trading–
Wealth Yes1112✓93%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 2:01, Wealth–
Efficiency Yes1114✓85%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 2:19, Efficiency–
Loan Growth Yes811✓92%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 3:57, Loan Growth–
Digital Yes88✓91%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 4:38, Digital–
Consecutive Yes55✓80%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 2:49, Consecutive–
Commercial Real Estate Yes44✓81%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 7:02, Commercial Real Estate–
Momentum Yes33✓73%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 1:36, Momentum–
Margin Yes35✓59%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 24:13, Margin–
Dividend Yes22✓84%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 2:28, Dividend–
Tariff Yes22✓62%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 17:09, Tariff–
Guidance Yes12✓86%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 47:28, Guidance–
Buyback No00✓73%transcripts from the transcript model–
Recession No00✓69%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

5 matches for “Consecutive”; 4 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Brian Moynihancompanyprepared · 2:51Hear it 2:47, Brian Moynihan

…Our team in sales and trading grew revenue 8%, marking our 14th consecutive quarter of year over year revenue growth. Our asset management fees increased…

Alastair Borthwickcompanyprepared · 8:35Hear it 8:30, Alastair Borthwick

…We grew another 212,000 net new checking accounts, extending our string of consecutive growth to 27 quarters. This includes the fourth consecutive quarter of increased…

Alastair Borthwickcompanyprepared · 12:30Hear it 12:24, Alastair Borthwick

…show a ten-quarter trend of average deposits to illustrate the extension of consecutive growth across those periods. Average deposits were up $71 billion, or 3.7%,…

Alastair Borthwickcompanyprepared · 14:00Hear it 13:54, Alastair Borthwick

…pace and importantly, were up across every loan type for the second consecutive quarter. Every business segment recorded higher average loans on both a year…

Where the listed words were said

Alastair Borthwickcompany“Trading” · prepared · 6:09Hear it 6:03, Alastair Borthwick

…revenue and aggregated amount of $11.3 billion came from our sales and trading, investment banking and asset management fees. Three of our more highly compensable…

Brian Moynihancompany“Wealth” · prepared · 2:03Hear it 1:57, Brian Moynihan

…only in lending and deposits, but also across the markets, businesses and wealth management, global markets and global banking. Before I turn it over to,…

Brian Moynihancompany“Efficiency” · prepared · 2:21Hear it 2:20, Brian Moynihan

…We drove operating leverage of 560 basis points in the quarter. The efficiency ratio fell below 62%. The return on assets reached 98 basis points.…

Brian Moynihancompany“Loan Growth” · prepared · 3:59Hear it 3:53, Brian Moynihan

…assets, lending in this business was particularly strong, with $12 billion in loan growth in this quarter. GWIM also opened another 32,000 banking accounts and…

Brian Moynihancompany“Digital” · prepared · 4:40Hear it 4:36, Brian Moynihan

…This quarter, I also, as usual, commend you to look at the digital slides in the appendix on slides 20, 22 and 24. They show…

Alastair Borthwickcompany“Commercial Real Estate” · prepared · 7:04Hear it 6:58, Alastair Borthwick

…modest reserve release as a result of both credit card and commercial real estate improvement. The strong asset quality reflects the continued strength of our…

Brian Moynihancompany“Momentum” · prepared · 1:38Hear it 1:36, Brian Moynihan

…operating leverage. Our ROTC improved to 15.4%. This quarter's results provide good momentum as we finish 2025 and head into 2026. We have been demonstrating…

Alastair Borthwickcompany“Margin” · prepared · 24:15Hear it 24:12, Alastair Borthwick

…from 3.82% to 3.4%. Linked quarter. This contributed to an improved risk-adjusted margin on credit card approaching 7.5%. Finally, as shown on appendix, slide 20.…

Alastair Borthwickcompany“Dividend” · prepared · 11:39Hear it 11:33, Alastair Borthwick

…$7.4 billion of capital back to shareholders, with $2.1 billion in common dividends paid and $5.3 billion of shares repurchased. Tangible book value per share…

Alastair Borthwickcompany“Tariff” · prepared · 17:11Hear it 17:07, Alastair Borthwick

…the second half of 2025. Despite all the uncertainties we've experienced around tariffs and rates, we've seen good performance against our expectations. And even with…

Brian Moynihancompany“Guidance” · qa · 47:30Hear it 47:29, Brian Moynihan

…activity growth. So we feel good about it. We'll give you more guidance. But at the end of the day, it'll be a result of,…

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