AMD (AMD): FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2025
On its Aug 5, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q2), AMD said 7 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
15 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPU | Yes | 21 | 26 | ✓ | 96%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| ROCm | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 90%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Frontier | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 64%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Automotive | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 67%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Export restriction | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 17%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| HPC | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 70%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| healthcare | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 50%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| MI300X | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 90%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Meta | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 77%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Triton | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 49%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| TSMC | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Milan | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Chiplet | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| AI chip | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
| NVIDIA | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
6 matches for “MI300”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…transitioning to our next-generation MI350 series accelerators. We made solid progress with MI300 and MI325 in the quarter, closing new wins and expanding adoption with…
…MI355. Sort of the way I would contrast it with maybe the MI300 ramp, I think MI300 started with perhaps some smaller deployments. I think…
…Instinct GPUs. One could say, again, if we look back at the MI300 family, we were very focused on the largest hyperscalers and the largest…
…that the MI355 is -- given that it's a similar infrastructure to MI300, we actually think it's going to ramp very quickly and very well…
…that gets you pretty close to a couple billion dollars, if the MI300 comes in, do you see it at the same run rate that…
Where the listed words were said
…compute infrastructure as customers quickly realize that each token generated by a GPU triggers multiple CPU-intensive tasks. Against this backdrop, fifth-gen EPYC Turin shipments ramped…
…quarter increasing the performance, improving the usability and expanding the adoption of ROCm. We announced ROCm 7 with major upgrades across every layer of the…
…more than 1/3 of the world's fastest supercomputers, including El Capitan and Frontier, which retained the #1 and #2 spots on the latest Top 500…
…significantly from the prior quarter, supported by new wins with large technology, automotive, manufacturing, financial services and public sector customers. To extend our momentum with…
…due to the $800 million inventory and related charges associated with the export restrictions. Excluding this charge, non-GAAP gross margin would have been approximately 54%.…
…enterprise wins with Forbes 2000 pharma, tech, automotive, financial services, aerospace and health care companies. We expect to continue growing our commercial client share based…
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