Coinbase (COIN): FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 8, 2025

On its May 8, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q1), Coinbase said 13 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 14 of 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

15 words · 13 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 15

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Institution / Institutional Yes1820✓90%transcripts from the transcript model–
Stablecoin Yes1617✓94%transcripts from the transcript model–
International Yes910✓85%transcripts from the transcript model–
Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation Yes89✓93%transcripts from the transcript model–
Custodial / Custody Yes88✓88%transcripts from the transcript model–
Trading volume Yes77✓91%transcripts from the transcript model–
Bitcoin Yes66✓86%transcripts from the transcript model–
Margin Yes44✓66%transcripts from the transcript model–
Subscription Yes33✓87%transcripts from the transcript model–
SEC / Securities and Exchange Commission Yes22✓87%transcripts from the transcript model–
Blockchain Yes22✓79%transcripts from the transcript model–
Staking / Stake Yes11✓81%transcripts from the transcript model–
Decentralized Exchange / DEX Yes00✗55%transcripts from the transcript model–
Web3 No00✓44%transcripts from the transcript model–
Crypto winter No00✓15%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

0 matches for “Staking / Stake”.

Where the listed words were said

Brian Armstrongcompany“Institution / Institutional” · prepared

…all the products we build across multiple customer groups, including regional businesses, institutions and developers, and serving these multiple customer groups has the potential to…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Stablecoin” · prepared

…strides across our stretch goal to make USDC the number one dollar stablecoin as well. In fact, USDC hit a market cap all time high…

Brian Armstrongcompany“International” · prepared

…still early, this is a significant market share increase driven by our international exchange where we saw our perps market share increase by over 60%.…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation” · prepared

…against Coinbase also marked a major judicial win for the balanced innovation-friendly regulation that we've been advocating for. It's really -- that was a really…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Custodial / Custody” · prepared

…stablecoin pay ins and payouts. Given Coinbase’s long history building crypto infrastructure, custody, trading and our network of bank partners around the world, we think…

Alesia Haascompany“Trading volume” · prepared

…trading was down 13% with Coinbase outperforming at down 10%. Our consumer trading volume was $78 billion, down 17%. Consumer transaction revenue declined 19%, and…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Bitcoin” · prepared

…borrowing. This is giving users instant liquidity without having to sell their Bitcoin. In the first one hundred days, we saw over $100 million in…

Alesia Haascompany“Margin” · qa

…and Coinbase products. And so we have about $26 million in net margin in USDC revenue on products in our platform. And then full margin,…

Alesia Haascompany“Subscription” · prepared

…makers and liquidity providers, which tend to have lower fee rates. Our subscription and services revenue grew 9%, and we saw an all-time high of…

Anil Guptacompany“SEC / Securities and Exchange Commission” · prepared

…factors that could cause these results to differ is included in our SEC filings. Our discussion today will also include certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations…

Alesia Haascompany“Blockchain” · prepared

…in Q2 compared to their Q1 averages. These price declines impact our blockchain rewards and other subscription and services revenue lines. We expect technology and…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Staking / Stake” · prepared

…the transaction processing and handling the scale of it, making that timely staking rewards, et cetera, etcetera. So these are all hard problems to solve…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/coinbase:2025-05-08:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=coinbase:2025-05-08:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP