Coinbase (COIN): FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 8, 2025

On its May 8, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q1), Coinbase said 13 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 14 of 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

15 words · 13 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 15

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Institution / Institutional Yes1820✓90%transcripts from the transcript model–
Stablecoin Yes1617✓94%transcripts from the transcript model–
International Yes910✓85%transcripts from the transcript model–
Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation Yes89✓93%transcripts from the transcript model–
Custodial / Custody Yes88✓88%transcripts from the transcript model–
Trading volume Yes77✓91%transcripts from the transcript model–
Bitcoin Yes66✓86%transcripts from the transcript model–
Margin Yes44✓66%transcripts from the transcript model–
Subscription Yes33✓87%transcripts from the transcript model–
SEC / Securities and Exchange Commission Yes22✓87%transcripts from the transcript model–
Blockchain Yes22✓79%transcripts from the transcript model–
Staking / Stake Yes11✓81%transcripts from the transcript model–
Decentralized Exchange / DEX Yes00✗55%transcripts from the transcript model–
Web3 No00✓44%transcripts from the transcript model–
Crypto winter No00✓15%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

2 matches for “Blockchain”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Alesia Haascompanyprepared

…in Q2 compared to their Q1 averages. These price declines impact our blockchain rewards and other subscription and services revenue lines. We expect technology and…

Brian Armstrongcompanyprepared

…data centers around the world, how do you integrate all the different blockchains and handle their upgrades and air drops? How do you build an…

Where the listed words were said

Brian Armstrongcompany“Institution / Institutional” · prepared

…all the products we build across multiple customer groups, including regional businesses, institutions and developers, and serving these multiple customer groups has the potential to…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Stablecoin” · prepared

…strides across our stretch goal to make USDC the number one dollar stablecoin as well. In fact, USDC hit a market cap all time high…

Brian Armstrongcompany“International” · prepared

…still early, this is a significant market share increase driven by our international exchange where we saw our perps market share increase by over 60%.…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation” · prepared

…against Coinbase also marked a major judicial win for the balanced innovation-friendly regulation that we've been advocating for. It's really -- that was a really…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Custodial / Custody” · prepared

…stablecoin pay ins and payouts. Given Coinbase’s long history building crypto infrastructure, custody, trading and our network of bank partners around the world, we think…

Alesia Haascompany“Trading volume” · prepared

…trading was down 13% with Coinbase outperforming at down 10%. Our consumer trading volume was $78 billion, down 17%. Consumer transaction revenue declined 19%, and…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Bitcoin” · prepared

…borrowing. This is giving users instant liquidity without having to sell their Bitcoin. In the first one hundred days, we saw over $100 million in…

Alesia Haascompany“Margin” · qa

…and Coinbase products. And so we have about $26 million in net margin in USDC revenue on products in our platform. And then full margin,…

Alesia Haascompany“Subscription” · prepared

…makers and liquidity providers, which tend to have lower fee rates. Our subscription and services revenue grew 9%, and we saw an all-time high of…

Anil Guptacompany“SEC / Securities and Exchange Commission” · prepared

…factors that could cause these results to differ is included in our SEC filings. Our discussion today will also include certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations…

Brian Armstrongcompany“Staking / Stake” · prepared

…the transaction processing and handling the scale of it, making that timely staking rewards, et cetera, etcetera. So these are all hard problems to solve…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/coinbase:2025-05-08:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=coinbase:2025-05-08:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP