Ford (F): FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 5, 2025

Mon, May 5Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptFord

On its May 5, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q1), Ford said 6 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

15 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Pricing Yes2731✓95%transcripts from the transcript model–
Dealer Yes67✓88%transcripts from the transcript model–
Electric vehicle / EV Yes56✓96%transcripts from the transcript model–
China Yes57✓88%transcripts from the transcript model–
Fleet Yes34✓83%transcripts from the transcript model–
Mach-E Yes25✓83%transcripts from the transcript model–
Charging No00✓70%transcripts from the transcript model–
Mustang No00✓63%transcripts from the transcript model–
Subsidy No00✓42%transcripts from the transcript model–
BlueOval No00✓24%transcripts from the transcript model–
F-150 Lightning No00✓24%transcripts from the transcript model–
Union No00✓20%transcripts from the transcript model–
Autonomous No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Battery production No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Inflation Reduction Act No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

8 matches for “Headwind”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Emmanuel Rosneranalystqa

…maybe a little bit more and in particular on the gross tariff headwinds, what goes into this $2.5 million? Could you give us maybe buckets…

Emmanuel Rosneranalystqa

…announced by the White House last week, is that in the gross headwinds? Is that considered as well in the gross headwind? And then similar…

Adam Jonasanalystqa

…to take this. In your estimation of the $1.5 billion net tariff headwind, you referred to potential supply-chain disruption, you didn't quantify it, but you…

Mark Delaneyanalystqa

…hoping to better understand the linearity of the $1.5 billion net tariff headwind over the balance of this year and what percent mitigation you think…

Ryan Brinkmananalystqa

…where the net of them could prove positive for the credit side of the business, providing some offset to the headwind on the automotive side?

Where the listed words were said

Sherry Housecompany“Pricing” · prepared

…quarter, driven by the team's continued progress on cost and strong net pricing in North America. When excluding the nearly $200 million impact of tariffs,…

Sherry Housecompany“Dealer” · prepared

…Kentucky Truck plant to support product launches in the rebalancing of US dealer inventory. As expected, this resulted in lower wholesales, which were down 7%…

Sherry Housecompany“Electric vehicle / EV” · prepared

…in Europe. We also began production of the new Ranger plug-in hybrid EV, which goes on sale in Europe and Australia during the second quarter.…

Kumar Galhotracompany“China” · prepared

…increase US content in our vehicles. We have stopped exporting vehicles to China, but we do continue to leverage China as a vehicle export hub…

Sherry Housecompany“Fleet” · prepared

…from a year ago with outsized growth in higher value services like fleet telematics, driving 40% growth in average revenue per unit. Ford Model e…

Andrew Frickcompany“Mach-E” · qa

That we're in the fourth year of Mach-E and the sales continue to be so strong. That has not happened in the ICE business. We…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/ford:2025-05-05:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=ford:2025-05-05:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP