Warren Buffett: May 3 Shareholders Meeting, May 3, 2025
In remarks on May 3, 2025, Warren Buffett said 8 of the 16 words Polymarket listed.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 8 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| A.I / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Apple | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billion 20+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Charlie / Munger | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation 4+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Real estate | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Federal Reserve | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Recession 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Semiconductor | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Supply chain | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tesla | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No public transcript expected. No official public recording known; market data and settlement only. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/warren-buffett:2025-05-03:remarks · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=warren-buffett:2025-05-03:remarks · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP