Warren Buffett
As of Oct 24, 2026, Polymarket has settled 16 word markets on Warren Buffett’s appearances since 2025, on 16 different words.
History Wall
1–16 of 16, most settled first| Word | May 3 ’25latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.I / Artificial Intelligence | Settled yes: A.I / Artificial Intelligence, May 3 ’25 remarks | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Apple | Settled yes: Apple, May 3 ’25 remarks | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Billion20+ times | Settled yes: Billion 20+, May 3 ’25 remarks | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Charlie / Munger | Settled yes: Charlie / Munger, May 3 ’25 remarks | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| China | Settled yes: China, May 3 ’25 remarks | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Elon / Musk | Settled yes: Elon / Musk, May 3 ’25 remarks | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Inflation4+ times | Settled yes: Inflation 4+, May 3 ’25 remarks | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Real estate | Settled yes: Real estate, May 3 ’25 remarks | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Settled no: Crypto / Bitcoin, May 3 ’25 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Federal Reserve | Settled no: Federal Reserve, May 3 ’25 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Recession3+ times | Settled no: Recession 3+, May 3 ’25 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Semiconductor | Settled no: Semiconductor, May 3 ’25 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Supply chain | Settled no: Supply chain, May 3 ’25 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Tariff5+ times | Settled no: Tariff 5+, May 3 ’25 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Tesla | Settled no: Tesla, May 3 ’25 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump | Settled no: Trump, May 3 ’25 remarks | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2025 | RemarksWhat will Warren Buffett say during May 3 Shareholders Meeting? | no transcript | 16 | 8 yes · 8 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Warren Buffett: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/warren-buffett (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/warren-buffett · words: /api/v1/history?entity=warren-buffett · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP